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Iowa Politics with Jeff Stein — Tue. Apr. 25, 2023

By Jeff Stein Apr 26, 2023 | 1:45 PM

We’ve Seen This Movie Before

Hollywood likes making sequels. The theory is that if the first movie is good or attracts an audience, may as well make another one…and another…and another.

The risk is if the sequel does not live up to the standard of the original. In Hollywood, if a sequel is horrible but draws a decent audience, it’s still more profitable than a totally original film.

While you can probably cite examples of film franchises that merited two, three, or more films…how many more can you name where the original was pretty good but the sequel was horrible?

“Grease 2” and “Dirty Dancing 2” immediately come to mind…but there are others.

That brings us to the 2024 presidential election and more from the NBC poll that was released this past Sunday. And the voting public is really not interested in another Trump-Biden matchup.

70 of American voters surveyed said Biden should not run for a second term…when broken down by political party, even a majority of Democrats are against it; 51 percent of voters in his own party say Biden should stand aside.

But voters aren’t thrilled with having Trump on the ballot either…60 percent of American voters don’t think he should run for president in 2024. At least members of his own party are more on board than is the case with Biden; only 33 percent of Republicans think Trump should not run.

So while the situation is worse for Biden, it’s clear Americans want some new candidates, and don’t want either Biden or Trump to make another run.

At this point, the NBC poll notes that only 41 percent of registered voters would cast a ballot for Biden if the election were held today; 47 percent would favor the eventual Republican nominee. But that’s a somewhat unreliable question…asking about one candidate by name against an unnamed candidate of the other party.

That 41 percent number, by the way, is the same number who approve of Biden’s job performance…54 percent disapprove…and both those numbers are worse for the incumbent than the same poll measured in January.

The presidential campaign is a long stretch as it is…imagine how tired people will be of it when so many don’t want to see either of the leading candidates make the effort.